Stargirl has two hits in Saturday races

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Mar 262012
 

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T.W. “Stargirl” Fendley used Associative Remote Viewing (ARV) to pick winners in two races Saturday, but they were no help in the Derby Wars contest. Since both horses were favorites with low odds, instead she chose horses with lower Targ Confidence Rankings (CRs) for the ARV3 team’s contest picks. After losing $17.20 from those decisions, ARV3 finished the contest with earnings of $20.60 and ranked 70th of 107.  Three of the team’s contest picks were place winners — two by Stargirl and one by Loraine Connon. Loraine’s top CRs in that race won and placed, but in reverse order from her prediction. While it’s not technically an ARV hit, kudos to Loraine for good viewing!

In the NHC Tour’s Free Online Challenge, Tom Atwater made a last-minute switch to a horse with a lower CR in one race with good results, but opposite results in another race. His top-rated horse (Targ CR 4) easily won the contest’s ninth race, but a longshot finished second and had the higher win/place price. Since our intent for contest races is to predict the horse with the highest win/place total, it didn’t count as an ARV hit.

Feb 192012
 

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Tom Atwater ranked 84th of 1,638 entrants, to finish in the top 5% in Saturday’s free NHC Tour Online Challenge. Using Associative Remote Viewing, Tom picked the longshot winner in the first race, earning  $63.20. The group login, with Loraine Connon’s ARV selection of  the winner in Race F and place horse in Race D, finished in 1052nd place with earnings of $14.

It was a very good day overall – Loraine hit 1 of 3, Tom hit 1 of 10 and T.W. “Stargirl” Fendley was 0-for-1 (after two races canceled due to weather).  At 2-for-14 total, the results were close to random, but the ROI was excellent – +1.6 – meaning a 160 percent increase in a flat-bet bankroll!

Jan 292012
 

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Loraine Connon, Tom Atwater and T.W. “Stargirl” Fendley’s group entry, ARV3, finished in 11th place of 113 players in Saturday’s Derby Wars contest, earning double their $25 entry fee. Stargirl used Associative Remote Viewing to pick 8-1 longshot, Willa B. Awesome, in Race D and 5-2 Holladay Road in Race H. She hit winners in two of the four races she viewed.

On his individual contest entry, Tom picked a 20-1 longshot in Race F. Although My Summer Slew placed, the win/place payoff was higher than the winning horse’s, making it the ARV winner in our contest protocol. Several horses with Tom’s second-highest Targ CR scores won races — he was definitely in the zone!

HT contest: Tom ARVs 3 winners to rank 15th

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Jan 232012
 

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Using Associative Remote Viewing (ARV), Tom Atwater picked three winners to finish 15th of 131 players in Saturday’s Horse Tourneys online contest. With $48.20 in contest points, he lagged $1.80 behind those who qualified for the next round in February. Additionally, in a group entry, Tom, T.W. “Stargirl” Fendley and Loraine Connon finished in the top third, ranked 43rd with contest points of $29.20.

Tom started the day with 5-1 winner Lil Deb in Race A, which was also the group’s pick.

A last-minute switch gained Tom a win in Race E. When he checked the photoset again just before post time, Tom noticed a barrel in the background that matched a cylindrical sketch, which he AOLed as a “55-gallon drum.” He switched his pick to Howe Great (odds 9-2), which won the race easily wire-wire.

In Race H, Tom picked the 2-1 favorite Absinthe Minded. Loraine also ARVed the place horse, Tiz Miz Sue, for the group

In Race J, Stargirl’s ARV choice Colors of the Glen, #7, went off at almost 10-1 and rallied to finish second. Something unique also happened – the winner’s win + place total ($4.40+$3) of $7.40 was EXACTLY equal to the place horse’s price $7.40. So this race actually had two contest-winning horses – #7 (outcome G) and the favorite #6 (outcome F). We declared outcome G as the winning contest outcome for this race in the stats since the intent was to view the horse with the highest win/place payoff.

 

Jan 092012
 

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Tom Atwater and T.W. “Stargirl” Fendley used Associative Remote Viewing (ARV) to pick Old Bushmill – at a juicy 7-1! – as the winner in Saturday’s Dixie Poker Ace Stakes at the Fair Grounds in New Orleans, one of the Public Handicapper contest races. Stargirl also claimed her first ARV trifecta — using one ARV transcript to choose all three winning horses in exact order — a feat that would have paid $228.80 on a $2 bet.

ARV group finishes NHC online contest in top 12%

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Dec 122011
 

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The following was prepared by Tom Atwater:

Six ARVers who signed up and paid last January to enter the National Handicapping Championship online contests participated in ARVing for yesterday’s contest. We finished 153rd out of 1328 entries, or in the top 12%–an excellent showing!

CONGRATULATIONS to our two ARVers who had contest winners – BOB and MIKE!  And to ME, whose pick finished 2nd! Plus we had several other good ARV sessions. All in all, great work by the group!

Here are the details:

(For the group login, I used only ARV top Targ CR choices as self-judged by the viewer. No logical handicapping was used to make picks.)

RaceA: Mike’s 140-1 (!) shot made a menacing move on the turn, but tired in the stretch to finish 4th. But at such a price it was a high ROI – and remember the max ROI is our goal now. So it’s a good thing when an extreme longshot comes fairly close like that.

RaceB: Bob’s top choice scratched. We both agreed on judging the 2nd choice. It was no factor and finished 7th at 58-1. Hey, longshots are good – they only need to come in once in a while to generate success in contests and in bets!

RaceC: This was my session. I had 2 horses tied with Targ CR 4 – originally had picked #3 at 6-1, but switched at the last minute to #4, also at 6-1.
#3 finished 2nd (in race and in contest $) paying $5.10, so that was the wrong decision 😉 but didn’t cost us that much in contest $.

RaceD: Bob’s 30-1 shot made a strong rally from behind to finish 2nd! As the odds-on favorite won, Bob’s horse’s $14.80 place payoff was larger than the win+place payoffs of the winner – so Bob’s horse was the CONTEST WINNER for this race! Way to go BOB!

After 4 of 10 contest races, we were in 331st place out of 1328 entries, well within striking distance, as only one horse had paid more in the contest than Bob’s horse so far.

RaceE: Teresa’s 4-1 horse finished 3rd.

RaceF: Teresa judged for Essie. Her top pick ran 8th at 70-1. I also AJed this race – but I was rushed, and actually only judged Teresa’s top 2 picks. I saw the order reversed from the way Teresa saw it. But the other horse was the 8-5 favorite, so I stuck with Teresa’s pick. My pick ran 9th 😉 so she made the right decision there. However, in looking at the race afterwards, I noticed that Teresa’s 3rd pick was the winner of the race/contest at 4-1 – and I saw many matches in that photo too. It is difficult judging so many photos, no question, and sometimes one gets away…. (especially if one only judges 2 of the 9 photos like I did) 😉 – but overall our judges do a great job.

RaceG: In this race Mike’s 76-1 horse made a strong move to get to the lead by a head at the eighth pole in the stretch – with me SCREAMING at the top of my lungs! – but the 2-5 favorite recovered from his trouble and went on by him to win by 2 lengths. But the $33.80 place price ($22 in contest winnings because of the odds cap) was much higher than the winner’s win+place prices, so Mike ARVed the CONTEST WINNER!!! EXCELLENT!!!

So now after 7 of 10 races, we were in 130th place – only about $30 out of 3rd place, the last NHC qualifying spot!

RaceI: This was my 2nd session. (came before RaceH, I got the times out of sequence). My pick was #3 at 8-1 (Targ CR 5) over #2 at 10-1 (Targ CR 4). The favorite won easily, but my #3 rallied to just nip #2 by a nose at the wire. The place price was only $6.20 though, lower because the favorite won, and was not the contest winner either, since the win+place prices of the winner were higher than that. But it was still nice to get more points, and validated the high ROI intent once again.

RaceH: Lorraine’s horse, Targ CR 6 (!) and 22-1, was clobbered on both sides coming out of the gate, and as a result dropped far back on the backstretch – he was 15 lengths behind at one point, after being near the lead in his prior races. Amazingly, he rallied around the field to finish 3rd, beaten only a half length for 2nd, and 1 1/4 lengths for the win. There is no doubt in my mind that her horse would have won the race had he not been bumped so hard coming out of the gate and dropped back – it easily cost him 4 or 5 lengths.
So, this was a moral victory, I have no doubt that Loraine ARVed the max ROI horse, at the time of her session; but the probabilities may have changed between then and post time, such that the gate problems actualized. These contests make it impractical to ARV near post time, so this is just the way it goes, sometimes.

At this point we were in 130th place, $34.70 in contest points out of 3rd place and NHC qualifying. It would take at least a 12-1 shot for us to have chance to get in.

RaceJ: Loraine’s pick in fact was between 9-1 and 12-1 throughout the betting, going off at 11.5 to 1 at post time. There were other possibilities at longer odds that I had in my own judging determined to have some matches to her sketch, but in the end it felt right to go with her own pick. Her horse looped the field to make a run up to 3rd at the eighth pole in the stretch, but tired to finish 6 lengths behind, as the even-money favorite won.

So, we ended up with 2 contest wins and one second in 10 races, which is not bad. And the prices put us in the top 12%, which is excellent!

We had many longshots who outran their odds, and though none of them won, the fact that most of them finished in the top 4 is really great work. Such horses are supposed to finish in the rear of the field – yet our ARVing indentified them as being high ROI horses. This is the key to winning both contests, and in making winning bets, in the long run – identifying horses that give positive expectation. So, we are definitely on the right track with were we want to go.

— Tom

Tom ARVs two of four PH winners Saturday

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Oct 042011
 

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Tom Atwater used Associative Remote Viewing (ARV) to pick winners in two of Saturday’s four Public Handicapper races. He chose Yellow Ribbon Stakes winner Dubawi Heights and Maryland Million Ladies Stakes winner Love’s Blush. He didn’t get credit in the ARV stats for the Maryland Million pick because two horses tied for first with a Targ CR4 (confidence ranking).

Two ARV winners in Saturday races

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Sep 252011
 

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Lincoln and T.W. Fendley used Associative Remote Viewing (ARV) to choose winners in two races Saturday at Turfway Park. Lincoln chose 18-1 longshot Future Prospect in the Kentucky Cup. T.W. picked Charming Vision in the Kentucky Cup Juvenile Fillies.

Four ARV winners in Saturday races

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Sep 032011
 

 

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Tom Atwater, Bob and Lincoln used Associative Remote Viewing to pick Mister Marti Gras as the 7-1 winner of Saturday’s Washington Park Stakes at Arlington Park. (Note: Lincoln is testing a new set of photosites.)  T.W. Fendley ARVed the winner, Jackson Bend, in Sarasota Park’s Forego Stakes. With 11 live predictions for the four Public Handicapper contest races, the PRECOG10 group had four winners and a 36% hit rate, with ROI of +1.70 per $1.

Two ARVers Hit Four Races Last Weekend

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Aug 292011
 

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Bob Shuman and Lincoln each used Associative Remote Viewing (ARV) to choose winners in two races apiece in the Public Handicapping contest Saturday-Sunday. Bob hit with Daveron in the Ballston Spa and Stay Thirsty in the Travers. Lincoln picked 6-1 Caleb’s Posse in the King’s Bishop and Acclamation in the Pacific Classic. The group was 4-for-9 (44%) for the weekend, and earned a ROI of +1.35 for $1. Even adding in two others’ misses and passes, the group ARVing the races by far exceeded random expectation (12% and -.20).