- T.W.’s sketch
- Photosite Kentucky Derby
- Photosite Churchill Downs Stakes
- T.W.’s sketch
Click image to enlarge.
It’s not often that I do anything spontaneous – you can ask anyone who knows me. So when I decided on Thursday afternoon to pay $100 to enter the National Handicapping Championship (NHC) Tour for a qualifying tournament starting Friday, it even surprised me.
Partly my decision was due to Tom Atwater’s recent success in qualifying for a seat in Vegas at the NHC Tour championship in January 2011. His blogs on this site about using Associative Remove Viewing (ARV) and logical handicapping were inspiring! Plus, I’d already decided to do the free Public Handicapper (PH) contest – four races per week – and those races were part of the second online NHC Tour tournament.
So I gave myself a new game name — StarGirl — and put my money where my mind is, because for me it’s all about ARV. The end result? I ranked 23rd out of 822 participants! Things started going my way in the last three races when I decided to act on a hunch. If only I’d changed my strategy sooner!
Before the contest began, I used ARV to choose three horses for each of the 10 races. The “win” horse had my highest Targ confidence ranking (CR), with the next-highest scores designating the place and show horses. (The PH contest requires you to list three horses in case of scratches since you can’t make any changes after you place your entry.)
My first viewing was for the Kentucky Derby at 10:27 a.m. on Thursday, soon after the race was posted on PRECOG10. I did sessions between 7-11:58 p.m. on Thursday for Friday’s five races. Here’s what happened at Friday’s races:
First race: my place horse, Elusive Jozi, showed
Second race: my place horse, Silver Timber, won, and my show horse, Chamberlain Bridge, placed
Third race: no winners
Fourth race: my win horse, Flying Private, placed, and my place horse, Enriched, showed
Fifth race: my place horse, Evening Jewel, placed
All fine and good, but only wins count in the NHC Tour and PH contests. I’d seen similar success with place and show horses on my two trips to Oaklawn this season, but there I also had a couple of first-place wins each day, too. What was going on?
Between Friday’s races, I did viewings from 1:34-4:04 p.m. for Saturday’s four remaining races. The day started with a muddy track at Churchill Downs and lots of horses scratched, including the horse I picked for place. The only change I made to my original picks was to add my fourth-ranked horse as my show selection for the sixth NHC Tour race.
Sixth race: no winners
Seventh race: my place horse, Mona de Momma, won
With no winners and three races to go, I was desperate. So I changed my strategy and decided to “bet” my place horse to win for the last three races.
Eighth race: my place horse, Atta Boy Roy, won (I had my first winner!)
Ninth race: my place horse, Court Vision, placed (in the money!)
Tenth race: my place horse, Super Saver, won (I picked the Kentucky Derby winner!)
So what does this mean in terms of ARV? I’ve thought about it a lot, because my intention was to pick the one and only winner of each race. That’s what I always do. Yet I’ve had fewer hits lately, as evidenced by my sad showing in the Derby List Triple Crown contest. Even the three NHC Tour “wins” don’t count as ARV hits because they weren’t my top choice. (Similarly, I scored zero points in the PH contest because I entered my top choices.)
But CLEARLY my subconscious is delivering … there’s just some interference along the way as I learn how to interpret the message. It will be interesting to see if I can take my ARVing to the next level, with three chances left to qualify for a seat at the NHC Tour championship!